SAFECare Policy Simulator

FRAMEWORK v1.0
Health Spending57.2%
Household Savings$8,925/yr
Debt Erased$220B

Total Savings vs Baseline

$26.9T

Cumulative by 2039

Health Spending Reduction

57.2%

First year savings

Household Savings

$8,925

Average per person/year

GDP Impact (Year 16)

+23.0%

Estimated vs Baseline

Med School Debt Reduction

$159k

Per graduate by 2039

Overall Success Rating

8.8 / 10
Good

Score Breakdown

Health Spending8.1
25% weight
Federal Debt9.1
20% weight
Household Burden10.0
20% weight
Coverage & Access10.0
15% weight
Provider Stability6.9
10% weight
Workforce7.7
10% weight

Health Spending as % of GDP

  • Baseline (Current Law)
  • SAFECARE
2026202720282029203020312032203320342035203620372038203906121824% of GDP

Federal Debt as % of GDP

  • Baseline Debt
  • SAFECARE Debt
2026202720282029203020312032203320342035203620372038203903570105140% of GDP

Household Health Burden by Income

Health costs as % of income

  • Current System
  • SAFECARE
Bottom 10%10-20%20-30%30-40%40-50%50-60%60-70%70-80%80-90%Top 10%08162432% of Income

Prescription Drug Spending

  • Baseline Drug Spending
  • SAFECARE Drug Spending
202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820390600120018002400Billions $

Medical Debt Stock

  • Baseline Medical Debt
  • SAFECARE (with Redemption)
20262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039055110165220Billions $

Medical School Debt at Graduation

  • Baseline Debt
  • SAFECARE Debt
20262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039080160240320Thousands $

Estimated Macroeconomic Impacts (Illustrative)

  • GDP vs Baseline
  • Unemployment Rate
2026202720282029203020312032203320342035203620372038203906121824GDP Change (%)-0.1500.150.30.45Unemployment Delta (pp)
* Projections based on simplified elasticities. Not a generic equilibrium forecast.

Program Cost & Funding Breakdown

Annual Program Balance (Billions)

  • Net Balance (+/-)
  • Total Cost
  • Total Funding
2028203020312033203520372039$0B$2000B$4000B$6000B$8000B

Positive balance = Surplus (goes to Trust Fund) | Negative = Deficit (draws from Trust Fund)

Detailed Annual Financials

YearTotal FundingPayrollIndiv.FederalTotal CostClaimsAdminSupportRedemptionBalance
2027$2796.9B$778.1B$325.8B$1672.9B$2655.3B$2280.4B$236.2B$124.2B$10.0B+$141.6B
2028$2849.7B$809.3B$336.6B$1683.8B$2672.6B$2334.1B$199.8B$124.2B$10.0B+$177.1B
2029$3812.3B$1122.2B$463.5B$2199.8B$3491.7B$3132.4B$220.6B$124.3B$10.0B+$320.6B
2030$4570.7B$1368.5B$560.5B$2609.9B$4142.7B$3800.7B$203.2B$124.3B$10.0B+$428.0B
2031$4951.2B$1479.0B$600.6B$2838.1B$4504.9B$4215.4B$150.7B$124.3B$10.0B+$446.3B
2032$5112.1B$1518.4B$611.3B$2949.0B$4680.9B$4462.4B$79.7B$124.4B$10.0B+$431.2B
2033$5330.8B$1558.5B$621.9B$3116.8B$4947.4B$4724.3B$84.2B$124.4B$10.0B+$383.4B
2034$5560.9B$1599.4B$632.7B$3295.3B$5230.7B$5002.7B$89.0B$124.4B$10.0B+$330.2B
2035$5794.0B$1641.0B$643.5B$3476.0B$5517.4B$5284.3B$94.1B$124.5B$10.0B+$276.6B
2036$6038.4B$1683.5B$654.3B$3667.1B$5820.7B$5582.3B$99.4B$124.5B$10.0B+$217.6B
2037$6288.2B$1726.7B$665.2B$3862.8B$6131.4B$5897.3B$105.1B$124.5B-+$156.8B
2038$6555.8B$1770.7B$676.1B$4075.5B$6469.1B$6229.0B$111.0B$124.6B-+$86.7B
2039$6837.1B$1815.4B$686.9B$4301.2B$6827.4B$6580.9B$117.3B$124.6B-+$9.7B

📊 Comprehensive Scenario Data

All parameters year-by-year for analysis and export

Years Covered
13
Avg Annual Revenue
$5115.23B
Avg Annual Cost
$4853.25B
Avg Annual Surplus
$261.98B

Data Sources, Methodology & Disclaimers

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